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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 28 January 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 28 January 2023. Bangkok United vs Lampang FC (Bangkok United or draw) sits top on 88% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 88%
Bangkok United
1 : 0 FT
Lampang FC
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Waalwijk or draw 87%
Waalwijk
2 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Caen or draw 86%
Caen
0 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 84%
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 League Two Β· England Swindon Town or draw 84%
Swindon Town
3 : 3 FT
Gillingham
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 83%
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 83%
Giresunspor
0 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 83%
Plzen
1 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 83%
FSV Mainz 05
5 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#10 League One Β· England Shrewsbury or draw 83%
Shrewsbury
2 : 1 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira or draw 82%
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg or draw 82%
Werder Bremen
2 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KVC Westerlo or draw 82%
KVC Westerlo
2 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 81%
Cremonese
1 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 80%
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United or draw 80%
Muangthong United
3 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#17 League Two Β· England Carlisle or draw 80%
Rochdale
0 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough or draw 79%
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 League Two Β· England Mansfield Town or draw 78%
Mansfield Town
4 : 1 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 78%
Bayern München
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 28 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bangkok United vs Lampang FC (Bangkok United or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.