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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 12 November 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 12 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Shandong Luneng vs Hebei Zhongji (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 99% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 99% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China Shandong Luneng or draw 99%

✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 63%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 87% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 93%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ Zenit Clean Sheet 67%

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Flamengo Clean Sheet 57%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 92%

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 91%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 91%

Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 59%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#10

League One · England Ipswich or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%

#11

League Two · England Stevenage or draw 85%

#12

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 85%

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%

#14

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#15

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 84%

#16

Bundesliga · Germany FC Augsburg or draw 83%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%

#17

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 83%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%

#18

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 83%

Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 72%

#19

Bundesliga · Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#20

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 12 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Hebei Zhongji (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 99% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.