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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 7 October 2022

Tue 4 Wed 5 Thu 6 Fri 7 Sat 8 Sun 9 Mon 10

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Friday 7 October 2022. Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport (Jong Ajax or draw) sits top on 94% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 94%

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Ligue 1 · France Lyon or draw 88%

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 85%

Primera División · Chile Huachipato or draw 84%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium SK Beveren or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 80%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Heracles or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

#10

Premier Division · Ireland Bohemians or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#11

Championship · England QPR or draw 79%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%

#12

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 78%

#13

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Willem II or draw 77%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland Jagiellonia or draw 77%

Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#15

Premier League · Ukraine Kolos Kovalivka or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 7 October 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport (Jong Ajax or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.