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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 6 February 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 6 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Arouca vs FC Porto (FC Porto or draw) at 93% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 93%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 55%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Ajax Clean Sheet 54%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium RWDM or draw 88%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 86%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 85%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 85%

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 85%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 85%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#10

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 84%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#12

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 83%

#13

Serie A · Italy Sassuolo or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 69%

#14

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 82%

#15

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 82%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%

#16

Thai League 1 · Thailand Chonburi FC or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#17

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 81%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%

#18

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#19

Süper Lig · Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 81%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#20

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 6 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arouca vs FC Porto (FC Porto or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.