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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 8 February 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Tuesday 8 February 2022. Forest Green vs Rochdale (Forest Green or draw) sits top on 90% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Forest Green or draw 90%
Forest Green
2 : 1 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 63% Forest Green Clean Sheet 57%
#2 League One Β· England Rotherham or draw 86%
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 14%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Rotherham Clean Sheet 55%
#3 League One Β· England Ipswich or draw 84%
Doncaster
0 : 1 FT
Ipswich
Win 16%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Championship Β· England Luton or draw 84%
Luton
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#5 League One Β· England Cambridge United or draw 83%
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
Win 17%
Draw 23%
Win 60%
#6 Championship Β· England Fulham or draw 82%
Fulham
3 : 0 FT
Millwall
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 League Two Β· England Mansfield Town or draw 81%
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#8 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 80%
Bolton
2 : 1 FT
Charlton
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#9 League Two Β· England Port Vale or draw 79%
Carlisle
1 : 3 FT
Port Vale
Win 21%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#10 League Two Β· England Stevenage or draw 77%
Stevenage
0 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#11 League One Β· England Plymouth or draw 77%
Crewe
1 : 4 FT
Plymouth
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 League Two Β· England Exeter City or draw 76%
Exeter City
1 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 League Two Β· England Northampton or draw 75%
Northampton
1 : 0 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 8 February 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Forest Green vs Rochdale (Forest Green or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.