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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 4 December 2021

Wed 1 Thu 2 Fri 3 Sat 4 Sun 5 Mon 6 Tue 7

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 4 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to SV Sandhausen vs SC Paderborn 07 (SC Paderborn 07 or draw) at 93% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 93%

Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Bundesliga · Germany FC Augsburg or draw 90%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Allsvenskan · Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 87%

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 86%

Championship · England Nottingham Forest or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 85%

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 84%

Serie B · Italy Benevento or draw 83%

#10

Challenger Pro League · Belgium RWDM or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#11

Ekstraklasa · Poland Jagiellonia or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#12

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 82%

#13

Super League · Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%

#14

Serie B · Italy Lecce or draw 81%

#15

La Liga · Spain Sevilla or draw 81%

#16

Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 81%

#17

Bundesliga · Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#18

Allsvenskan · Sweden Malmo FF or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#19

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hansa Rostock or draw 80%

#20

Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 79%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 4 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SV Sandhausen vs SC Paderborn 07 (SC Paderborn 07 or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.