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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 30 November 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 30 November 2021. Hellas Verona vs Cagliari (Hellas Verona or draw) led the list at 86% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Hellas Verona or draw 86%
Hellas Verona
0 : 0 FT
Cagliari
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy Monza or draw 85%
Monza
4 : 1 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 85%
Salernitana
0 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 83%
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 80%
Flamengo
2 : 1 FT
Ceara
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Benevento or draw 79%
Vicenza Virtus
2 : 3 FT
Benevento
Win 21%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Alessandria or draw 76%
Pordenone
2 : 0 FT
Alessandria
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Fiorentina or draw 76%
Fiorentina
3 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 76%
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
Norwich
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 75%
Atalanta
4 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 30 November 2021?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Hellas Verona vs Cagliari (Hellas Verona or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.