Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 21 September 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
17 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 21 September 2021. Ajaccio vs Niort (Ajaccio or draw) led the list at 89% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 76%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio or draw
89%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş or draw
89%
Ligue 2 · France
Toulouse or draw
89%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük or draw
88%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
83%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club or draw
82%
Serie B · Italy
Reggina or draw
82%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU or draw
81%
Serie B · Italy
Spal or draw
81%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen or draw
80%
Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux or draw
79%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia or draw
79%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich or draw
79%
Ligue 2 · France
Nimes or draw
78%
Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre or draw
77%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli or draw
77%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble or draw
76%
Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 21 September 2021?
17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajaccio vs Niort (Ajaccio or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.