Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 21 August 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 August 2021. Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF (Malmo FF or draw) led the list at 93% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF or draw
93%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg or draw
91%
Ligue 2 · France
Toulouse or draw
90%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset or draw
89%
Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly or draw
89%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset or draw
88%
Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux or draw
88%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
86%
Ligue 2 · France
Nimes or draw
85%
Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena or draw
85%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
85%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga or draw
83%
Serie B · Italy
Vicenza Virtus or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
82%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
82%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg or draw
81%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
81%
Championship · England
Hull City or draw
81%
Ligue 2 · France
Niort or draw
80%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 21 August 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF (Malmo FF or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.