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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 17 March 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 39 fixtures on Tuesday 17 March 2026. Barnsley vs Wigan sits top on 68% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 2 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
0 : 1 FT
Al Ain
Win 37%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 38%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
2 : 1 FT
GKS Katowice
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
2 : 2 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
3 : 1 FT
Padova
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
3 : 0 FT
Cesena
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
0 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
0 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Watford
3 : 1 FT
Wrexham
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 4 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Blackpool
3 : 2 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Bolton
0 : 0 FT
Doncaster
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
League One Β· England
Burton Albion
1 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 37%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Huddersfield
2 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Luton
3 : 2 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Peterborough
5 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Stockport County
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Cardiff
0 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
0 : 4 FT
Notts County
Win 31%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Chesterfield
0 : 3 FT
Oldham
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
1 : 1 FT
Barnet
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Salford City
3 : 1 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
0 : 3 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Walsall
0 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%

Showing 39 of 39 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 17 March 2026?

39 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barnsley vs Wigan at 68% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.