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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 14 March 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 38 fixtures on Friday 14 March 2025. MVV vs Jong AZ sits top on 74% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
2 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 2 FT
Hannover 96
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
0 : 3 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
4 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Martigues
2 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
1 : 1 FT
Rodez
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
2 : 1 FT
Caen
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
4 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 30%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
0 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 53%
Draw 20%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 1 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
0 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
3 : 0 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 0 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 1 FT
Al Kholood
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
5 : 2 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
2 : 3 FT
Cremonese
Win 32%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 34%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
2 : 1 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
1 : 0 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Cork City
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
3 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Bristol City
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
La Liga Β· Spain
Las Palmas
2 : 2 FT
Alaves
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Limache
2 : 3 FT
Huachipato
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%

Showing 38 of 38 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 14 March 2025?

38 fixtures met the criteria, led by MVV vs Jong AZ at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.