Fixture360 logo Fixture360 logo
Sign in Register
🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Thursday 26 December 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

58 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 26 December 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Liverpool vs Leicester at 71% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 18%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Italy
Pisa
3 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Manchester City
1 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League One · England
Leyton Orient
3 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
3 : 3 FT
Modena
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cesena
0 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
2 : 0 FT
Salernitana
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
2 : 1 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Mantova
Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 2 FT
Cittadella
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Bournemouth
0 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
1 : 2 FT
Fulham
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
3 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0 FT
Tottenham
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Southampton
0 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 19%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 56%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 0 FT
Luton
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Championship · England
Coventry
4 : 0 FT
Plymouth
✓ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
3 : 3 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Norwich
2 : 1 FT
Millwall
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Oxford United
3 : 2 FT
Cardiff
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Preston
1 : 0 FT
Hull City
✓ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 35%
Draw 40%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 72%
Model Score 0–0 · 23%
Championship · England
Swansea
3 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Watford
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
BTTS No 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
League One · England
Birmingham
2 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League One · England
Bolton
1 : 2 FT
Barnsley
Win 36%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Exeter City
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Huddersfield
1 : 0 FT
Stockport County
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Peterborough
0 : 3 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Reading
4 : 1 FT
Northampton
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Rotherham
0 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Stevenage
0 : 3 FT
Wycombe
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
League Two · England
Bradford
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
✓ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League Two · England
Bromley
5 : 2 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 27%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Cheltenham
2 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
Colchester
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
✓ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 FT
Chesterfield
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Grimsby
2 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 2 FT
Notts County
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Salford City
3 : 0 FT
Barrow
✓ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
4 : 3 FT
KVC Westerlo
✓ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 1 FT
Charleroi
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 31%
Draw 37%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Premier League · England
Wolves
2 : 0 FT
Manchester United
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Derby
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
0 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 1 FT
Carrarese
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
Leicester
✓ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 32%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 58 of 58 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Thursday 26 December 2024?

58 fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Leicester at 71% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.