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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 29 March 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

69 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 29 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Southampton vs Middlesbrough at 73% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Sichuan Jiuniu
2 : 2 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
Cardiff
0 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
1 : 3 FT
Coventry
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 2 FT
Stoke City
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Norwich
2 : 1 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Preston
3 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
QPR
2 : 1 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Southampton
1 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
0 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Derby
1 : 0 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Exeter City
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Lincoln
1 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
League One Β· England
Peterborough
1 : 3 FT
Carlisle
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 9%
League One Β· England
Port Vale
2 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Reading
1 : 0 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Stevenage
0 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Wigan
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
League One Β· England
Wycombe
1 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 27%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
1 : 2 FT
Morecambe
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
3 : 1 FT
Grimsby
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
League Two Β· England
Bradford
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Colchester
2 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
0 : 2 FT
Doncaster
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 3 FT
Stockport County
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
5 : 0 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
2 : 1 FT
Notts County
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
League Two Β· England
Wrexham
2 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
1 : 4 FT
FC Rostov
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Blackburn
0 : 1 FT
Ipswich
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
1 : 0 FT
Chaves
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Benfica Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
3 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 4 FT
Ajman
Win 33%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
0 : 0 FT
FC BW Linz
Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Austria Vienna Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
0 : 2 FT
Groningen
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
0 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
5 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
4 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 3 FT
Cambuur
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
0 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 0 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
4 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 3 FT
Al-Raed
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
2 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
5 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
0 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
0 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Watford
2 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Lens
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
1 : 0 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
1 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 20%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
0 : 2 FT
Palestino
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 69 of 69 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 29 March 2024?

69 fixtures met the criteria, led by Southampton vs Middlesbrough at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.