Sign in Register
🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 21 January 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

40 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 21 January 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor at 82% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
2 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 7%
Draw 14%
Win 79%
Over 2.5 71%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
3 : 1 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Leeds
2 : 1 FT
Preston
✓ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
0 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 0 FT
SV Wehen
✓ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
4 : 1 FT
Charleroi
✓ Win 62%
Draw 27%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60% Antwerp Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
1 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
3 : 2 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
1 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 3–0 · 8%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 17%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 2 FT
West Ham
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
3 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
1 : 5 FT
PAOK
Win 15%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
0 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 3–0 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
✓ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
3 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
2 : 2 FT
Bari
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Almeria
✓ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
0 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
0 : 5 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 3 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
0 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
4 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 5 FT
Galatasaray
Win 26%
Draw 37%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Premier League · England
Bournemouth
0 : 4 FT
Liverpool
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
1 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
2 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Chaves
0 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
0 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
0 : 3 FT
Juventus
Win 24%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
5 : 1 FT
Sevilla
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
3 : 0 FT
Estrela
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 21 January 2024?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.