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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 20 August 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

88 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 20 August 2023. Viking vs Stabaek led the list at 82% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 16%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Czech Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
1 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 24%
✓ Draw 40%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 84% BTTS No 76% Corinthians Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 0–0 · 26%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
4 : 3 FT
Daejeon Citizen
✓ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
0 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Norwich
3 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
2 : 0 FT
Nantes
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
1 : 3 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
3 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
0 : 0 FT
Trat FC
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 4 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
✓ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Osnabrück
2 : 3 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
3 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dnipro-1
1 : 2 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
3 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
✓ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
4 : 0 FT
Everton
✓ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
1 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
2 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
1 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
ŁKS Łódź
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
0 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 2 FT
Sirius
✓ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
2 : 2 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 3 FT
Osters IF
Win 25%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
3 : 0 FT
SJK
✓ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
3 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
2 : 1 FT
Sigma Olomouc
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
2 : 0 FT
Zlin
✓ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
4 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 15%
Draw 32%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 70% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 21%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
0 : 0 FT
Charleroi
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
2 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
2 : 5 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
3 : 2 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
2 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
2 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
5 : 1 FT
Aalesund
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
1 : 3 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 28%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
1 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
✓ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
1 : 0 FT
Stabaek
✓ Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 3–1 · 8%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
0 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
0 : 5 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
1 : 5 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
West Ham
3 : 1 FT
Chelsea
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
3 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
0 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
3 : 3 FT
Spezia
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
3 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
1 : 0 FT
Baník Ostrava
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
0 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 2 FT
Atalanta
Win 37%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
7 : 1 FT
RWDM
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
3 : 2 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
✓ Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
1 : 3 FT
Zenit
Win 30%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
3 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Farense
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
3 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
3 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
✓ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
3 : 0 FT
Kifisia
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
4 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Lillestrom
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 3 FT
AS Eupen
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liège II
2 : 1 FT
Liège
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
1 : 0 FT
Reggiana
✓ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
2 : 0 FT
Feralpisalo
✓ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
3 : 0 FT
Como
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
1 : 1 FT
Rennes
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
2 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
0 : 3 FT
Juventus
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 3 FT
Sivasspor
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
1 : 1 FT
Pendikspor
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Santos
2 : 1 FT
Gremio
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Coritiba
2 : 3 FT
Flamengo
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
4 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
✓ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
2 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
0 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 1 FT
York United
✓ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Showing 88 of 88 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 20 August 2023?

88 fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Stabaek at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.