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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 18 August 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

48 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 18 August 2023. The strongest reading belongs to SHANGHAI SIPG vs Meizhou Kejia at 78% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 25%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 0 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
2 : 2 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
1 : 0 FT
Tianjin Teda
✓ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
0 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 0 FT
Prachuap
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
3 : 1 FT
Police Tero
✓ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3 : 4 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 2 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
1 : 2 FT
Polessya
Win 25%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti
0 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 28%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 3 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 1 FT
Honka
Win 27%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 0 FT
Oleksandria
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
✓ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Wehen
1 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
3 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
✓ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
0 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 38%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Gais
3 : 0 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
4 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
0 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
2 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
0 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
4 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
✓ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
✓ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 3 FT
Cambuur
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
2 : 3 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 37%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 0 FT
Club Brugge II
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 2 FT
Lamia
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
İstanbulspor
1 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
0 : 2 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 32%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
0 : 2 FT
Al Taawon
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
3 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
0 : 4 FT
Bayern München
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 0 FT
Palermo
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Leeds
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
2 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 32%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Showing 48 of 48 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 18 August 2023?

48 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Meizhou Kejia at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.