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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 30 July 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

53 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 30 July 2023. Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam sits top on 81% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 0 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 2 FT
Flamengo
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
3 : 0 FT
A. Italiano
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
0 : 3 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Beijing Guoan
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
1 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
1 : 1 FT
Lahti
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 2 FT
Chornomorets
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 1 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
1 : 0 FT
Gefle IF
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Vasteras SK FK Clean Sheet 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Honka
4 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
2 : 0 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ KuPS Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
1 : 3 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 2 FT
Teplice
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 2 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 0 FT
Bahia
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
3 : 2 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
4 : 1 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
5 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Yverdon Sport
2 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
1 : 4 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
0 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
3 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 15%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
✓ Model Score 3–1 Β· 8%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
3 : 2 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
0 : 3 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 2 FT
Inter Turku
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Primera División Β· Chile
Magallanes
2 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
Akhmat
2 : 3 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
0 : 2 FT
Tromso
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
0 : 2 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
4 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 61% Botafogo Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 4 FT
Palmeiras
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
2 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Goias
1 : 1 FT
Gremio
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
0 : 3 FT
Union La Calera
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 53 of 53 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 30 July 2023?

53 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.