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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 12 May 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

44 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 12 May 2023. Dundalk vs Cork City led the list at 79% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
2 : 2 FT
Palestino
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
3 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 10%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1 : 0 FT
Lampang FC
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
4 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United
1 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Police Tero
2 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
4 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
5 : 2 FT
Al Bataeh
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1 : 1 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
1 : 2 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
0 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
2 : 3 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 1 FT
Ried
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
4 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 15%
Draw 21%
Win 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
0 : 3 FT
Heracles
Win 39%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 2–2 Β· 7%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 38%
Draw 21%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
3 : 1 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 3–0 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
3 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Excelsior Virton
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
3 : 2 FT
Dender
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
6 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
5 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
5 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
2 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 66% Lazio Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 3–1 Β· 8%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
3 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 9%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 69%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%
League One Β· England
Peterborough
4 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
2 : 1 FT
Reims
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
3 : 1 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%

Showing 44 of 44 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 12 May 2023?

44 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dundalk vs Cork City at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.