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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 28 April 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

36 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 28 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to VfL Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund at 77% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
3 : 2 FT
Lviv
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Metal Kharkiv
1 : 3 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
2 : 0 FT
Damac
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 1 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
5 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Ümraniyespor
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
0 : 2 FT
Fakel
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 2 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
3 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
4 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77%
Model Score 3–0 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 5 FT
Almere City FC
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
4 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Raków Częstochowa Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 3 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 58%
Draw 30%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 71% Al-Fayha Clean Sheet 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 22%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
4 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
0 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
3 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
2 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
3 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 15%
Draw 27%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 66% Bohemians Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 19%
Championship Β· England
Blackpool
2 : 3 FT
Millwall
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
1 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 30%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
0 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 0 FT
Arouca
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
0 : 0 FT
Colo Colo
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 36 of 36 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 28 April 2023?

36 fixtures met the criteria, led by VfL Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.