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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 14 October 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

31 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 14 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to FC Schalke 04 vs 1899 Hoffenheim at 72% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
1 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 37%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 2 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
3 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Rostov
1 : 2 FT
Ural
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
3 : 2 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 3 FT
Willem II
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
3 : 2 FT
Heracles
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 1 FT
Deinze
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
1 : 4 FT
RWDM
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 3 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 27%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
2 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 32%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
3 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 2 FT
Seraing United
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
3 : 1 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Brentford
2 : 0 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
0 : 3 FT
Lille
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 0 FT
Getafe
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
1 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 31 of 31 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 14 October 2022?

31 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Schalke 04 vs 1899 Hoffenheim at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.