Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 11 May 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

35 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 11 May 2022. PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen sits top on 71% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 16%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eredivisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 2 FT
Al Nasr
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
0 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 21%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
5 : 0 FT
Al-Jazira
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
4 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
3 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 38%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 76% ✓ AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 25%
La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
2 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
1 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
0 : 2 FT
Plzen
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
1 : 2 FT
Slovácko
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 33%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 24%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 2 FT
NEC Nijmegen
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
3 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
2 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
Leeds
0 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 8%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 79%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
0 : 0 FT
Mallorca
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
2 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
1 : 3 FT
FC Luzern
Win 35%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Leicester
3 : 0 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Watford
0 : 0 FT
Everton
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
2 : 1 FT
Rennes
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Wolves
1 : 5 FT
Manchester City
Win 14%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 64%
BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
0 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 35 of 35 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 11 May 2022?

35 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen at 71% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.