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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 17 July 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Friday 17 July 2026. Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc led the list at 46% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
2 : 0 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 FT
Fredrikstad
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 71%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Mirassol
2 : 1 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
#5 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1 FT
York United
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 FT
Shenyang Urban
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
5 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Supra du Quebec
1 : 5 FT
Vancouver FC
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Super League Β· China
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 17 July 2026?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.