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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 6 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 6 April 2025. Valladolid vs Getafe led the list at 54% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
0 : 4 FT
Getafe
Win 15%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Getafe Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 0 FT
Livyi Bereh
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
3 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Anyang
2 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
3 : 3 FT
Bari
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Nacional
0 : 1 FT
Estrela
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 0 FT
Cagliari
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
3 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Elversberg
6 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 1 FT
Dukla Praha
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 1 FT
FC BW Linz
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
4 : 1 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 6 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Valladolid vs Getafe at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.