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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 4 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 4 April 2025. Chiangrai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya led the list at 58% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 36%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
2 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 66% Chiangrai United Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Inhulets
0 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 25%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 2 FT
Grenoble
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
3 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 19%
Draw 30%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 57%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 1 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
2 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
1 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
3 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 4 FT
Espanyol
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 2 FT
Nantes
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 0 FT
Martigues
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
4 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#19 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 2 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 4 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chiangrai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.