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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 24 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 24 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Martigues vs Amiens at 56% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Martigues
3 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 66% Amiens Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
4 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 10%
Draw 20%
Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 57%
#3 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 3 FT
Hull City
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
3 : 0 FT
Grenoble
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
1 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
3 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 1 FT
MVV
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Torino
2 : 0 FT
Cagliari
Win 32%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Spezia
2 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#16 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
1 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 20%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
1 : 0 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#20 League Two · England
Newport County
1 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 24 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Martigues vs Amiens at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.