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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 27 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Monday 27 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Burnley vs Leeds at 43% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 43% down to 13%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Burnley
0 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
2 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
1 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
0 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
5 : 4 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
AVS
1 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 33%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 27 January 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Leeds at 43% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.