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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 5 December 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 5 December 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Fluminense vs Cuiaba at 54% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
✓ Win 42%
Draw 38%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Fluminense Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 2 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#3 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 1 FT
Teplice
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
2 : 2 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
3 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 27%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#6 Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 1 FT
Vorskla Poltava
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
2 : 2 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
0 : 1 FT
Botafogo
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
1 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 31%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
2 : 1 FT
Sporting CP
Win 20%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
0 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 25%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Moss
0 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Premier League · England
Fulham
3 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
1 : 0 FT
Tottenham
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
2 : 3 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 36%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 16 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 5 December 2024?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fluminense vs Cuiaba at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.