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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 19 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 19 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Amiens vs Ajaccio at 58% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
3 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 67% Amiens Clean Sheet 58%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 7%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 72%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Fortuna Düsseldorf Clean Sheet 56%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
4 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 31%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61% Athletic Club Clean Sheet 53%
#4 League One Β· England
Reading
4 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
0 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 16%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 1 FT
Criciuma
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#7 Championship Β· England
Preston
1 : 0 FT
Coventry
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#9 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
0 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
1 : 5 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 14%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 64%
#12 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 2 FT
Mariehamn
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#13 League Two Β· England
Bradford
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#14 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
0 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
1 : 2 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 20%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
0 : 0 FT
Livyi Bereh
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 16%
Draw 30%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia
Khimki
2 : 0 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 13%
Draw 24%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 54%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 3 FT
Nublense
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 19 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Amiens vs Ajaccio at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.