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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 23 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 23 September 2024. KFUM Oslo vs Molde sits top on 46% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien · Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 1 FT
Molde
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 0 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 2 FT
Morecambe
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#4 Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
1 : 2 FT
Mallorca
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 0 FT
Galway United
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 0 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 32%
✓ Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 4 FT
Cambuur
Win 26%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Superettan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
0 : 2 FT
Osters IF
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
0 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 35%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1 FT
Halmstad
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
Criciuma
0 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#14 Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
1 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
3 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Superettan · Sweden
Sandviken
0 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Superettan · Sweden
Oddevold
0 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 23 September 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by KFUM Oslo vs Molde at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.