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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 20 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 20 September 2024. Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise sits top on 50% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Nice
8 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
2 : 1 FT
Sevilla
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
2 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 28%
Draw 37%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
1 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Martigues
0 : 4 FT
Grenoble
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
✓ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
#10 Championship · England
Stoke City
1 : 3 FT
Hull City
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
3 : 0 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
0 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 22%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4 : 2 FT
Damac
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 1 FT
Bodrum FK
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#16 2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
3 : 5 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
0 : 3 FT
Laval
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
0 : 3 FT
SC Braga
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
#20 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 20 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.