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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 28 June 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Friday 28 June 2024. Dundalk vs Waterford sits top on 52% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 2 FT
Waterford
Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 72%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 0 FT
Galway United
✓ Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
5 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
✓ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#4 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 2 FT
Vancouver FC
Win 49%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
1 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
✓ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
2 : 2 FT
Gefle IF
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 9%
Draw 14%
✓ Win 77%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Criciuma
✓ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
#10 Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 0 FT
KuPS
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#11 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
3 : 1 FT
VPS
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
0 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 0 FT
Bohemians
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
#14 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
1 : 0 FT
York United
✓ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
0 : 2 FT
Molde
Win 30%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 48%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 16 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 28 June 2024?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dundalk vs Waterford at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.