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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 17 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 17 May 2024. Caen vs Valenciennes sits top on 56% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 34%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
3 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
✓ Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Caen Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
3 : 2 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64% Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
4 : 1 FT
Concarneau
✓ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60% Auxerre Clean Sheet 53%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
2 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 24%
Draw 37%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 3 FT
Bohemians
Win 36%
Draw 38%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Superettan · Sweden
Gefle IF
1 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#13 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 3 FT
Galway United
Win 33%
Draw 36%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#14 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
3 : 0 FT
Bangkok United
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 56%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 3 FT
Amiens
Win 31%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 0 FT
Waterford
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
0 : 1 FT
Laval
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#19 Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 4 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
2 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 17 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Caen vs Valenciennes at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.