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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 19 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 19 April 2024. Beerschot VA vs Patro Eisden led the list at 61% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 35%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 47%
Draw 35%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 75% Beerschot VA Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% Shelbourne Clean Sheet 54%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 1 FT
Granada CF
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 57% Athletic Club Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 1 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
0 : 4 FT
Cosenza
Win 23%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#10 League One · England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#11 Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
3 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 2 FT
Al Taee
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 53%
#15 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
4 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#16 Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Vancouver FC
2 : 0 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 53%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 17%
Draw 21%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 0 FT
Ankaragücü
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
2 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 19 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beerschot VA vs Patro Eisden at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.