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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 21 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 21 April 2024. Casa Pia vs FC Porto sits top on 53% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 21%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 69% FC Porto Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 0 FT
Frosinone
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Torino Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 36%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Gais
2 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 14%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
1 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
0 : 0 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 45%
Draw 35%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
4 : 1 FT
Pendikspor
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 69%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
1 : 1 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#9 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
1 : 3 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
5 : 1 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Oddevold
2 : 1 FT
Gefle IF
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Sochi
2 : 2 FT
Ural
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
4 : 2 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 2 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 31%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
#17 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Internacional
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0 FT
Polessya
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 21 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Casa Pia vs FC Porto at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.