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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 18 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 18 February 2024. Benfica vs Vizela led the list at 52% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
6 : 1 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
BTTS No 58%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
0 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 17%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 13%
Draw 26%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
1 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 74%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 0 FT
Arouca
Win 16%
Draw 23%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
1 : 4 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Raed
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 27%
Draw 38%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 63%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
0 : 3 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 13%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 3 FT
Groningen
Win 22%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 0 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
1 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 26%
Draw 36%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
3 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 18 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs Vizela at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.