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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 19 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 19 December 2023. Ajaccio vs Valenciennes led the list at 52% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 19%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 32%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Angers
1 : 0 FT
Guingamp
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 2 FT
Bordeaux
Win 17%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
3 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
1 : 3 FT
Auxerre
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Concarneau
0 : 3 FT
Grenoble
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 3 FT
Getafe
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
2 : 2 FT
Quevilly
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
3 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Caen
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
1 : 2 FT
Rodez
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
2 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 53%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
İstanbulspor
1 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 24%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#17 La Liga · Spain
Granada CF
0 : 3 FT
Sevilla
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 3 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#19 Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 19 December 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajaccio vs Valenciennes at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.