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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 16 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 16 December 2023. Le Havre vs Nice sits top on 52% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
3 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 22%
Draw 39%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 69%
#2 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 0 FT
Charleroi
Win 53%
Draw 33%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
2 : 2 FT
Amiens
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
#5 League One · England
Oxford United
3 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Feralpisalo
1 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 13%
Draw 23%
Win 65%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 League Two · England
Stockport County
8 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 Championship · England
Plymouth
3 : 2 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#9 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 20%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#10 League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 0 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 20%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
2 : 0 FT
Como
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Premier League · England
Newcastle
3 : 0 FT
Fulham
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
0 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 27%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#17 Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 0 FT
VfL Osnabrück
Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
0 : 1 FT
Concarneau
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#20 League One · England
Cheltenham
1 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 16 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Le Havre vs Nice at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.