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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 17 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 17 December 2023. Marseille vs Clermont Foot sits top on 55% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 36%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
2 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 25%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 61% Marseille Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Francs Borains
1 : 3 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 22%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Las Palmas
1 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Villarreal
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Trat FC
1 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
2 : 0 FT
AS Roma
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 0 FT
Rennes
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
5 : 2 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
4 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
3 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 60%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1 FT
SV Wehen
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 17 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Marseille vs Clermont Foot at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.