Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 22 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 22 December 2023. Aston Villa vs Sheffield Utd sits top on 63% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 91%
Draw 7%
Win 2%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS No 64% Aston Villa Clean Sheet 63%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#4 League Two Β· England
Stockport County
2 : 1 FT
Notts County
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#6 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
2 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
1 : 6 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 31%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
0 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Championship Β· England
Swansea
2 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
1 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
#16 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
3 : 2 FT
Hull City
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 3 FT
Bradford
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 0 FT
Gillingham
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 53%
#19 League Two Β· England
Colchester
2 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 League Two Β· England
Crewe
1 : 3 FT
Barrow
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 22 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Aston Villa vs Sheffield Utd at 63% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.