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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 17 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 17 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Cracovia Krakow vs Stal Mielec at 48% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
2 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
2 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 11%
Draw 23%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
3 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#5 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
1 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
0 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 23%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
6 : 2 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
2 : 2 FT
Al-Raed
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#12 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
1 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 1 FT
Vizela
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 1 FT
UCD
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
1 : 1 FT
Venezia
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 54%
#17 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Nasr
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
3 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
3 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
1 : 2 FT
Magallanes
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 17 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cracovia Krakow vs Stal Mielec at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.