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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 15 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Wednesday 15 February 2023. Real Madrid vs Elche sits top on 51% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies six of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the clean sheet market — 22%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 0 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#3 Championship Β· England
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#4 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
3 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 Championship Β· England
Swansea
2 : 1 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
1 : 3 FT
Manchester City
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 3 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 9 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 15 February 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Elche at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.