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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 5 March 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 5 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bastia vs Valenciennes at 56% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 45%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
1 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
Win 41%
Draw 37%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 74% Bastia Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
4 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 23%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Red Bull Salzburg Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Burnley
0 : 4 FT
Chelsea
Win 20%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Chelsea Clean Sheet 56%
#4 League Two Β· England
Northampton
3 : 2 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#5 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 FT
Stevenage
Win 42%
Draw 38%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 3 FT
Auxerre
Win 26%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Pordenone
0 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 16%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 1 FT
Wisla Krakow
Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
0 : 2 FT
Spal
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
0 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 12%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#15 Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 2 FT
West Brom
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 0 FT
Villarreal
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Seongnam FC
2 : 2 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 30%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#19 Championship Β· England
Fulham
2 : 0 FT
Blackburn
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#20 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 5 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bastia vs Valenciennes at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.