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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 4 March 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 4 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Huddersfield vs Peterborough at 53% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
0 : 0 FT
Sevilla
Win 26%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 71%
#3 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
1 : 4 FT
Lyon
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 68%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
4 : 2 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
1 : 1 FT
Al Urooba
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 0 FT
Estoril
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 0 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
5 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
0 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
4 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
3 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangmai United
1 : 1 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 4 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Huddersfield vs Peterborough at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.