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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 6 March 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 6 March 2022. Werder Bremen vs Dynamo Dresden led the list at 52% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 42%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 1 FT
Dynamo Dresden
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 33%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 66%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Empoli
Win 20%
Draw 38%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 26%
βœ“ Draw 42%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
3 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 13%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 67%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Admira Wacker
1 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 19%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
2 : 4 FT
FC Porto
Win 15%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 58%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
0 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
3 : 0 FT
Oostende
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 2 FT
Arsenal Tula
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
3 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
2 : 0 FT
Apollon Smirnis
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 0 FT
Altay
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
0 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Police Tero
0 : 2 FT
Muangthong United
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#20 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 31%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 6 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Werder Bremen vs Dynamo Dresden at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.