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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 12 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 12 December 2021. Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar led the list at 55% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 39%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
1 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 59% Ajax Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Mlada Boleslav
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Slavia Praha Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 4 FT
Benfica
Win 6%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Perugia
Win 26%
Draw 36%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Akhmat
4 : 1 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
4 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 0 FT
Giresunspor
Win 27%
Draw 35%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 1 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
5 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 2 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Belenenses
0 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 13%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 59%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
1 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#14 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 0 FT
Qingdao Huanghai
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
2 : 0 FT
FC UFA
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
3 : 1 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
0 : 3 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 20%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 12 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.