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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 29 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 29 September 2021. Barnsley vs Nottingham Forest sits top on 50% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Superettan supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Barnsley
1 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 24%
Draw 41%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 67%
#2 Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
2 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 53%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Gais
2 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#4 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Superettan · Sweden
Norrby IF
2 : 2 FT
Helsingborg
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#6 Primera División · Chile
Santiago Wanderers
2 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Championship · England
Peterborough
0 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
Win 34%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Superettan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
2 : 0 FT
Trelleborg
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#11 Superettan · Sweden
Akropolis
1 : 1 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#12 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
2 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
1 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 Championship · England
Derby
1 : 0 FT
Reading
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Championship · England
Luton
5 : 0 FT
Coventry
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
#16 Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Bristol City
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Championship · England
Fulham
3 : 1 FT
Swansea
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
2 : 1 FT
Landskrona BoIS
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Eliteserien · Norway
Stabaek
0 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 29 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barnsley vs Nottingham Forest at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.