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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 22 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 22 September 2021. Haka vs SJK sits top on 53% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
4 : 0 FT
SJK
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 74%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
3 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 3 FT
Utrecht
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 1 FT
Apollon Smirnis
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 71%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
1 : 2 FT
Lahti
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
4 : 1 FT
Elche
Win 25%
Draw 43%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 66%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
0 : 3 FT
Perugia
Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
2 : 2 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
2 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
0 : 2 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#13 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
3 : 1 FT
Seongnam FC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
2 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 19%
Draw 34%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 59%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#19 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
2 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
Win 33%
Draw 39%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 22 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Haka vs SJK at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.