Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 19 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 19 September 2021. Apollon Smirnis vs Volos NFC sits top on 70% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 42%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
Apollon Smirnis
1 : 3 FT
Volos NFC
Win 50%
Draw 37%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 85% BTTS No 82% Apollon Smirnis Clean Sheet 70%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 2 FT
Panetolikos
Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 82% BTTS No 76% Atromitos Clean Sheet 61%
#3 Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
3 : 3 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 82% BTTS No 76% OFI Clean Sheet 61%
#4 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
1 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 62% Sparta Praha Clean Sheet 58%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 18%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 68% Fenerbahçe Clean Sheet 55%
#6 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
1 : 4 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 8%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 67%
BTTS No 57% SC Paderborn 07 Clean Sheet 54%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
2 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 30%
✓ Draw 44%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 69%
#9 Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
✓ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#10 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
Seongnam FC
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
0 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#12 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
3 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 16%
Draw 30%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#13 Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
1 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
2 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Sevilla
Win 31%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#17 Ligue 1 · France
Angers
1 : 4 FT
Nantes
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55%
#18 Premier League · Ukraine
Lviv
0 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#19 Serie A · Brazil
Ceara
0 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#20 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
3 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 19 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Apollon Smirnis vs Volos NFC at 70% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.