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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 16 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Monday 16 August 2021. Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze sits top on 49% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
4 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 27%
Draw 35%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
1 : 5 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
0 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Belenenses
1 : 2 FT
Maritimo
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
2 : 1 FT
U. Catolica
Win 34%
Draw 36%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Giresunspor
0 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 26%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 26%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
3 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 24%
Draw 36%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 22%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
Win 22%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Sochi
3 : 0 FT
Khimki
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
0 : 0 FT
Granada CF
Win 27%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
0 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 30%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
3 : 2 FT
Honka
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Mariupol
2 : 3 FT
Chornomorets
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 16 August 2021?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.