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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 10 March 2024

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 10 March 2024. Arouca vs Sporting CP sits top on 70% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 51%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 70%
Arouca
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 37%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Premier League Β· England 68%
Aston Villa
0 : 4 FT
Tottenham
Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 76%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 65%
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 60%
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 60%
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France 59%
Strasbourg
0 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 22%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 56%
Fenerbahçe
4 : 1 FT
Pendikspor
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy 56%
Lecco
0 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 56%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3 : 2 FT
VfL Osnabrück
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany 55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 55%
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Premier League Β· England 55%
Brighton
1 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece 55%
Lamia
0 : 4 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Premier League Β· England 54%
Liverpool
1 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece 54%
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 3 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France 53%
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 53%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 53%
Chonburi FC
1 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 52%
İstanbulspor
1 : 2 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 51%
Benfica
3 : 1 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 10 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arouca vs Sporting CP at 70% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.